Jim Whitney Economics 311

Monday, April 02, 2012

II. Efficient policymaking in global markets
D. The least you should know about The WTO
(last time: 1. little known facts)

2. Key provisions

a. provisions for nondiscrimination

    (1) Most-favored-nation (MFN) clause: The Contracting Parties ... bound to grant to the products of other contracting parties treatment no less favorable than that accorded to products of any other country.

    Advantages:
    --generates more liberalization by extending benefits to all
        Ex: negotiated benefits accrue to small countries.
    --avoids fragmentation into trading blocks.
    --greater security during negotiations--prevents agmts from being undermined by later side agreements

    (2) National treatment on taxation and regulation
    Imported goods, once duties have been paid, must be given the same treatment as like domestic products in relation to any charges, taxes, or administrative or other regulations
    Includes prohibition of domestic content requirements
    Example: Chile taxes on alcohol. Had a special loophole for pisco, violated WTO.


 

b. provisions for specific policies

(1) tariffs
  standard tariffs cannot exceed "bound rates" (WTO commitments)
  allowable temporary tariffs in cases of
"material injury or threat of material injury"
  (1.1) safeguard -- severe hardship from a trade concession
  (1.2) anti-dumping duty -- offsets exporter dumping margin when export price is below "normal value"
    (i) P in exporter's home country
(ii) Exporter's ATC
  (1.3) countervailing duty -- offsets effects of exporter subsidies
     
(2)

quotas: no longer allowed
    last to go: textiles from China (2008)
    agriculture: converted to tariffs (tariffication) 

     
(3)

technical and administrative regulations:
    --should "not create..."unnecessary obstacles to trade"

     
(4)

Measures to protect human, animal or plant life
    must...

  (4.1) be based on scientific evidence
  (4.2) not discriminate between members (where identical or similar conditions prevail)
  (4.3) "not constitute a disguised restriction on international trade"
 

Example: trade restrictions by the EU against imports of food with genetically modified organisms

     
(5) subsidies
  (5.1) red = prohibited -- example: export subsidies
    Tax rebates and exemptions for exports: generally prohibited
    "Tied aid": Foreign aid that must be used to purchase of domestic products: grants must be > 20% of aid
    Export credit subsidies OK but not lower than a specified interest-rate floor
   (5.2) yellow = actionable -- example: production subsidy
   (5.3) green = nonactionable
Examples: environmental / R&D / disadvantaged regions
    Example: US trade restrictions against tuna imports caught without nets that protected dolphins

 

c. provisions for special treatment

    (1) national security

    (2) LDCs
        --can promote infant industries
        --can receive preferential access to DC markets

    (3) social regulation
        Acceptable but must not
        (i) "constitute a means of arbitrary or unjustifiable discrimination"
        (ii) "represent disguised restrictions on international trade"

    (4) Custom Unions and Free-Trade Areas (Article XXIV of GATT 1994)
                Preferential trading agreements
   
    --exempted from nondiscrimination provisions
       --bilateral tariffs must be entirely eliminated

    Customs union: a free trade area with common tariffs against nonmembers
Ex: EU
    Free trade area: no tariffs between members; independent tariffs against nonmembers
        Ex: US: Caribbean Basin Initiative--1983 / Israel / Nafta (1993)

    Advantage?
    --avoids free riders, so can promote more liberalization


 

    Effects covered by customs union theory

    Bilateral free trade agreements create trade-offs because of selective lowering of tariffs

    (1) trade creation: a gain
    (2) trade diversion: from lowest cost supplier to the preferrred supplier--a loss

Example: Nafta

    1 = before NAFTA
        ? tariff revenue = 
    2 = afta NAFTA

    DCS 
   
DPS 
   
DGR 

    Net: 
    Trade creation gain = 
   Trade diversion loss = 
      Change in Welfare =

axes.gif (4118 bytes)
US textile market

 

    Trade creation represents an efficiency gain from increased consumption and reduced production
    Trade diversion represents an efficiency loss from replacing low-cost imports with higher cost imports

    Economists prefer global trade liberalization to ensure lowest-cost production, but
    bilateral FTAs have been good second-best alternatives since:
        (i) in practice, trade creation gains have exceeded trade diversion losses
        (ii) bilateral arrangements can be stepping-stones to further liberalization